How it works

How the tools confirm a pick

1. 1

   Top picks and alerts

   PIT ML was number 5 of NHL's top picks for 2026-10-22. A top-pick alert went out 30 minutes before the start: PIT ML at -104 (LowVig.ag), rated strong, labelled trial. Trial means picks like this have not yet beaten the closing market over enough graded picks.

2. 2

   Fair price and Slate prices

   The market's fair price for PIT ML, with the books' margin taken out, was +102 when the pick was logged. Slate prices shows the market's fair price beside ours for every game, so you can see where we differ from the market and by how much.

3. 3

   Price shop: the best number

   11 books quoted this line when it was logged, from -110 (BetUS) to -104 (LowVig.ag). On a hit, one unit at -104 returns 0.96 units; at -110 it returns 0.91. Same pick, a better number.

4. 4

   Bet-to: the worst price still worth it

   Bet-to -117: by our numbers, the worst price still worth taking. 11 of the 11 quotes were at or better than it; at a worse price the pick is a pass.

5. 5

   Build a report

   Build a report puts a card like this one beside any other games and players you choose, across sports, in one report you can print, download or send to the analysis chat.

6. 6

   The analysis chatMembers

   Ask about the game in plain words, for example: "What do the books say about FLA @ PIT, and how has the line moved today?" It answers from the prices and records we store, and you can check every number. (The question is an example, not from our log.)

7. 7

   Paper plays

   Logged as a paper play before the start, at -104, it is graded like a bet: hit, +0.96 units on one unit, with its closing line value. Your own plays become your own backtest, going forward. The market's fair price for PIT ML was +102 when the pick was logged and +102 at the close: about the same.

8. 8

   How we test

   One result says little. NHL moneyline picks, season to date: 18 picks, 9-9, +0.5 units. Too early to tell (18 of 300 graded).